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Estimating the Impact of Alabama's First Class Pre-K on K-12 Teacher Turnover

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About This Project

Observational research on students receiving Alabama's high-quality First Class Pre-K (FCPK) shows large differences in rates of discipline compared to other students. Post-pandemic reports indicate school discipline has worsened, causing teachers to quit. This project examines the persistence of lower rates for FCPK students and estimates the impact on teacher turnover during a growing shortage of teachers in Alabama.

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What is the context of this research?

A recent report on disciplinary rates in Alabama found that FCPK students were half as much as their peers. An evaluation of teachers in Alabama found much higher rates of disciplinary incidents among teachers with 1-3 years of experience, especially for incidents described as "defiance." This is consistent with research in other states. An earlier study in Montgomery found that 62% of students with at least one suspension dropped out of school (38% graduated). Recently, a serious shortage of qualified teachers has become acute, with discipline as a potential factor in many cases. It stands to reason that classes with a higher proportion of FCPK students could relieve discipline-related teacher stress and reduce turnover for newer teachers.

What is the significance of this project?

A large body of research on Pre-K finds that students have significantly lower rates of negative outcomes as adults, including lower rates of interaction with the criminal justice system. They also graduate at higher rates. Conversely, students with more disciplinary incidents are more likely to be suspended, have lower academic achievement, drop out of school, and become involved in the criminal justice system. These issues are more acute for black students, especially those with less experienced teachers. Ultimately, this project considers the feasibility of providing targeted support and training to teachers, thereby reducing turnover and improving student outcomes.

What are the goals of the project?

To test the hypothesis that teacher turnover will be highest among teachers with lower levels of experience and lower percentages of FCPK students in their classes and lowest among teachers with more experience and higher percentages of FCPK students, I will use regression analysis, controlling for class size, student socioeconomic status, teacher education, student and teacher demographics, and other school characteristics.

The data requested will contain matched data for all K-12 students and teachers from 2015 to 2023 in Alabama, along with relevant demographic data for both teachers and students. The data set will contain approximately 61 million records for approximately 1.6 million students for that period. Data analysis will be done using an R-based program, STATA, and Tableau.

Budget

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This budget would do two things:

1. Provide IRB approval required by agencies for data acquisition and use.

2. Provide funding for journal submission so that I can publish the findings in a peer-reviewed journal.

IRB approval is required for acquiring the data and would permit the publication of the results of this study. That would also be essential to receiving peer review. Publication and review costs are included (e.g. Sage).

Part of the funding would be used to make presentations to administrators and school boards across Alabama and educators across the state. The Alabama Department of Early Childhood Education has provided additional support for this project in earlier phases and potentially for the future.

Project Timeline

2023 - Complete preregistration at the Center for Open Science with a more detailed description of the methodology.

2023 - Obtain regulatory approval, data, and match cases for longitudinal analysis.

2024 - Write report on findings for review by research team and educational partners.

2024 - Present findings to academic and policymaking audiences.

2024 - Submit the completed article or articles to a peer-reviewed academic journal for publication.

Oct 31, 2023

Submit proposal to an Institutional Review Board for review. Negotiate fees.

Oct 31, 2023

Submit data requests to ALSDE for the 2020-2023 school years and to ADECE for FCPK cohort data. Concurrently, submit pre-registration.

Feb 29, 2024

Complete data cleaning, de-identification, and matching data from ALSDE and ADECE requests.

Mar 31, 2024

Present findings at a professional conference.

Apr 26, 2024

Complete analysis of matched-pair comparisons between FCPK and non-FCPK students; between teachers having FCPK students. Examine effects on schools.

Meet the Team

Joe Adams
Joe Adams
Research Coordinator

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University of Alabama at Birmingham
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Joe Adams

Joe Adams is a research analyst, evaluator, and good government advocate. He teaches at the University of Alabama at Birmingham and works at the Public Affairs Research Council of Alabama.

This project evolved from earlier studies on dropouts, one in Mobile and a second in Montgomery, Alabama, and a statewide study done for the Military Child Education Coalition that included behavioral indicators. He recently examined discipline in the context of Teach for America teachers and their teaching peers. He has been working on educational issues in Alabama for the past 17 years.

In 2012, at the request of the Governor's Office, he wrote the seminal report on the impact of Alabama's First Class Pre-K, indicating that benefits extended to students in grades 3 to 6. He continued working with other researchers at the University of Alabama at Birmingham and the University of Alabama on longitudinal analyses of First Class Pre-K students cohorts, producing a peer-reviewed publication in 2020, corroborating his earlier findings.

Joe has taught 70 college courses in public policy, political theory, program evaluation, and ethics in public administration. He also has experience in government research, analysis, and planning, including eight years in state government for three different agencies, including working for legislatures in two states. He often advocates for more transparency and effective institutional controls.

He holds a B.A. from Texas A&M University (political science and history) and a Ph.D. (political science) from Vanderbilt University.

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Additional Information

Photo by Yan Krukau This research project will be pre-registered with the Center for Open Science.



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