researcher
Susanne Jul

Susanne Jul

Los Altos CA

Creative Crisis Leadership

Senior Researcher

More

Published on Nov 15, 2017

Distractions, distractions

Distractions. We all have them. Fortunately, the ones I’ve had in the past few weeks have been productive. They’ve kept me from systematic data analysis, but have allowed me to incorporate some of ...

Backers Only
Group 6 Copy 64
Published on Nov 07, 2017

Reply to George Furnas' question, "how much can be learned from historical situations where disasters became 'routine'?"

[It appears that replies and comments have a character limit, and don't support multiple paragraphs. This lab note is a reply to a comment on a previous note.]George Furnas commented on the Lab Not...

Group 6 Copy 119
Published on Nov 04, 2017

Behavioral responses, mental conflicts, motivating factors

You may have noted that my posts have been light on citations. This has not been for lack of searching or of reading, but rather because I have found disappointingly few references that seems direc...

Group 6 Copy 175
Published on Oct 12, 2017

Can we relax now, please?

We have reached the original funding goal, but there are still 9 days left in the fundraising campaign. Please keep spreading the word, so we can reach our “stretch goal.”The added funds will enabl...

Group 6 Copy 85
Published on Oct 12, 2017

Funded!

What can I say, other than:Thank you.Your moral support keeps me marching upwards. Your financial support keeps me from stumbling on cashflow worries.Most humbly,— SusannePrepare to be unprepared.

Group 6 Copy 96
Published on Oct 09, 2017

Hurricanes and fires and research directions, oh my!

My inbox this morning had a distressingly high number of callouts from the American Red Cross: I could deploy immediately to locations in Napa, Mendocino, Texas, Florida (“all over the state”), US ...

Group 6 Copy 74
Published on Oct 02, 2017

Thanks to YOU, we're halfway there!

Because of your generosity, we are halfway to our fundraising goal!Thank you.It is difficult to stay motivated and focused when you're searching the wilds of the unknown.The confidence and support ...

Backers Only
Group 6 Copy 25
Show more updates
Yes, it comes in fits and starts!
Nov 29, 2017
What personal qualities and situational factors enable someone rise to leadership in disaster?
View comment
It's hopeless. It's stripping out line breaks. I'll try some other routes.
Nov 07, 2017
What personal qualities and situational factors enable someone rise to leadership in disaster?
View comment
Good question! The time dimension is important in much disaster research. Events are distinguished by how much advance warning there is (probability of occurrence combined with an actual event), how quickly damage occurs, and how long the damaging forces continue. In Barton’s words: "Changes coming without warning are likely to create greater loss, and leave the social system with less capacity to respond to the loss. If the change is gradual or predictable in advance, specific preparations to prevent or respond to the damage are much more likely to be made. If the impact is long-continued or recurring, as in a lasting depression, drought or the wartime bombings, long-range social adaptations can be worked out, either to minimize losses, to restore the system's functioning on another basis, or to lower the members aspirations to match the system's lower capacity to meet their needs. The disaster studies of the last twenty years fall into two main clusters. One consists of disasters to small communities or to small segments of cities, coming without much warning and meeting little institutional preparation. These are the tornadoes, accidental explosions, flash floods, and the like. The other cluster consists of the studies of the effects of World War II bombing raids— a recurring impact with a relatively high degree of institutional preparation, covering most of the cities of whole countries. If we go back to the 1930's we find large-scale economic stress on a similar national scale; a number of careful case studies of communities and regions in the grip of the depression were made, as well as studies of family groups under depression stress."
Nov 07, 2017
What personal qualities and situational factors enable someone rise to leadership in disaster?
View comment
Good question! The time dimension is important in much disaster research. Events are distinguished by how much advance warning there is (probability of occurrence combined with an actual event), how quickly damage occurs, and how long the damaging forces continue. In Barton’s words: "Changes coming without warning are likely to create greater loss, and leave the social system with less capacity to respond to the loss. If the change is gradual or predictable in advance, specific preparations to prevent or respond to the damage are much more likely to be made. If the impact is long-continued or recurring, as in a lasting depression, drought or the wartime bombings, long-range social adaptations can be worked out, either to minimize losses, to restore the system's functioning on another basis, or to lower the members aspirations to match the system's lower capacity to meet their needs. The disaster studies of the last twenty years fall into two main clusters. One consists of disasters to small communities or to small segments of cities, coming without much warning and meeting little institutional preparation. These are the tornadoes, accidental explosions, flash floods, and the like. The other cluster consists of the studies of the effects of World War II bombing raids— a recurring impact with a relatively high degree of institutional preparation, covering most of the cities of whole countries. If we go back to the 1930's we find large-scale economic stress on a similar national scale; a number of careful case studies of communities and regions in the grip of the depression were made, as well as studies of family groups under depression stress."
Nov 07, 2017
What personal qualities and situational factors enable someone rise to leadership in disaster?
View comment
I suspect that this trend for research to focus on the distinguishing time dimension has diminished, but may still be discernible. That is, research on events with advance warning has focused on warning systems and reactions to warnings, research on sudden-onset events has focused on response behaviors, and research on ongoing or recurring events has focused on long-term adaptations. But that is my biased perception, not based on any systematic analysis. That said, the context of bombing outside the main target areas in WWII is analogous to hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico or earthquakes on the Pacific Rim: high probability of an event overall, but low for any given community. There might well be historical studies from other countries that fit that profile. -------- Disaster Research Group. Field studies of disaster behavior: an inventory. Disaster Study Number 14. Washington: National Academy of Sciences — National Research Council, 1961.
Nov 07, 2017
What personal qualities and situational factors enable someone rise to leadership in disaster?
View comment
I think there is a secret character limit on reply and comment length, so I will try breaking my response into several replies. :-)
Nov 07, 2017
What personal qualities and situational factors enable someone rise to leadership in disaster?
View comment
I'm having technical issues posting my reply. Stand by...
Nov 07, 2017
What personal qualities and situational factors enable someone rise to leadership in disaster?
View comment
Talk til jer begge to!
Oct 17, 2017
What personal qualities and situational factors enable someone rise to leadership in disaster?
View comment
I hope it will give them the power to help themselves!
Oct 12, 2017
What personal qualities and situational factors enable someone rise to leadership in disaster?
View comment
That's easy: I just channel all the wonderful people who are supporting this project!
Oct 11, 2017
What personal qualities and situational factors enable someone rise to leadership in disaster?
View comment
yes, I've finally acknowledged that that tends be my value-add, and am learning to provide opportunities for others to contribute theirs.
Oct 09, 2017
What personal qualities and situational factors enable someone rise to leadership in disaster?
View comment
Great! Thanks.
Sep 27, 2017
What personal qualities and situational factors enable someone rise to leadership in disaster?
View comment
Show more comments